Standfirst
As the Premier League enters its most demanding phase, Arsenal remain firmly in the title race. While results tell part of the story, performance metrics reveal whether their position is sustainable heading into the winter schedule.
Key Metrics Snapshot (After 15 Matches)
| Metric | Value | League Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Points per Game | 2.27 | 2nd |
| Goals per Match | 2.1 | 3rd |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.98 | 4th |
| Expected Goals Against (xGA) | 0.95 | 2nd |
| Possession % | 60% | 3rd |
| Pass Completion | 87% | 2nd |
Metrics reflect league performance after 15 matches and are rounded for analytical comparison.
Performance Trend
Goals vs Expected Goals (Aug–Dec 2025)
Chart placeholder:
Line chart showing Arsenal’s goals closely tracking expected goals across the first half of the season.
Insight:
Arsenal are neither overperforming nor relying on finishing variance — a strong indicator of consistency.
Analysis & Insights
Arsenal’s control in central areas has been the defining feature of their campaign. They rank among the top three sides for opposition box entries allowed, conceding just 7.4 per match.
In possession, the team has shifted toward longer attacking sequences. Arsenal average 14.2 passes per possession, the highest in the league, highlighting their ability to sustain pressure rather than rely on transitional moments.
Defensively, Arsenal’s pressing efficiency has improved. They regain possession within five seconds of loss 38% of the time, a key metric linked to limiting counter-attacking exposure.
Key Player Metrics
Bukayo Saka
- Non-penalty goals per 90: 0.46
- Expected assists (xA): 0.31
- Touches in opposition box per match: 6.1
Declan Rice
- Interceptions per 90: 2.6
- Progressive carries: 5.9
- Duels won: 62%
Rice’s influence has been central to Arsenal’s defensive stability, allowing attacking players to take greater positional risks.
What This Means
- Arsenal’s league position is supported by underlying data
- Defensive structure remains elite despite fixture congestion
- Squad depth will be tested during the festive period
Projection models place Arsenal on a 78–82 point trajectory, consistent with a genuine title challenge.
What to Watch Over the Festive Period
- Rotation impact during December fixtures
- Defensive output against high-transition teams
- Shot quality under congested scheduling
These variables will define Arsenal’s position entering the second half of the season.
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